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Christmas retail footfall expected to dip - reportBy

Nigel TAYLOR Published
October 3,TG盗号系统免杀工具 2025

Eighty-three shopping days to Christmas and the official retail footfall forecasts in the run-up to the big day are out.


John Lewis


And the bad news is that footfall is expected to drop between October and December across all UK destinations as households continue to feel the pain of cost-of-living constraints, rising interest rates and inflation, according to MRI Software (formerly MRI Springboard).

For a start, footfall across high streets, shopping centres and out-of-town retail parks, declined by 3.2% month-to-month basis in September, the largest dip since January.

And in October, footfall will continue to decline, albeit by just 0.1%, remaining flat from October to November before increasing by 5.1% from November to December, the prediction said. Although the latter figure will be the largest increase this year, it remains below the 5.8% rise seen in 2025.

Following Black Friday, the rise in footfall from November to December will result in a 6.5% footfall boost to retail parks and 10% in shopping centres, but high streets will rise by just 2%.

Taken across September to December, footfall in shopping centres will average 0.3% below the 2025 level versus -1.7% in high streets

The gap from the 2025 footfall levels will widen marginally to -12.5% across all UK retail destinations, from -11% in August. Again, retail parks will be resilient but in high streets and shopping centres, the gap from the 2025 footfall level will remain at a much wider level. In August, high street footfall was 13.4% below the 2025 level and 14.8% below 2025 in shopping centres. And the 2025 gap will widen further by December to -15.5% in high streets and -17.7% in shopping centres.
 

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