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Sandra Halliday Published
October 12, 2025
With supply chain issues to the fore, if you want to know what the footfall forecasts are for UK retail in the critical six-week period covering Black Friday, Christmas, and post-Christmas periods, read on.

Black Friday will record the greatest increase in footfall over the six-week festive period, with a predicted boost of 7.9% from the week before, specialist footfall tracker Springboard believes. This will be a greater rise than the increase of 6.5% in the final week of Christmas trading.
Meanwhile, footfall across UK retail destinations this Christmas will average 17% lower than 2025, continuing the current trajectory seen in September.
It said the drop in UK footfall from 2025 is predicted to be driven by high streets (-17.7%) and shopping centres (-17.5%])but retail parks will show ongoing resilience this Christmas, strengthening by +5.5%
Footfall in large city centres will strengthen over the six-week period, overtaking smaller high streets “as consumers seek out the Christmas shopping experience they missed last year”, noted Springboard.
And in the post-Christmas week, footfall in high streets and shopping centres will drop by around 20% "as Boxing Day sales continue to be less appealing for consumers”.
But at least footfall will be 80.9% stronger in comparison to 2025 when the UK was forced into lockdown two, Springboard added.