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Investor’s Brief 18.02.25: Russian ruble,飞机盗号软件云控破解技术 stock market rise after Trump-Putin talk
February 18, 2025 09:00Among companies with a market capitalization of at least $10 billion, the biggest gainer last week was healthcare service provider Hims & Hers Health, whose shares rose 42.12%. Next was Aurora Innovation, which develops autonomous transportation technologies, with a 41.53% increase. The top three was rounded out by mobile app promotion services provider AppLovin, with a 35.77% increase.
The top three largest-cap companies with the biggest losses last week starts with West Pharmaceutical Services, a pharmaceutical company whose stock price fell by 33.22% in a week. Next is The Trade Desk, a digital advertising platform provider, with a 31.66% decline. And this top three is rounded out by Fidelity National Information Services, a financial services technology solutions provider, with a 17.31% decline.
Wall Street closed with mixed results on Friday. The Nasdaq hit a record high, helped by a 2.6% gain of Nvidia. However, Microsoft and Amazon fell, weighing on the broader market. The S&P 500 fell 0.01%, the Nasdaq rose 0.41%, and the Dow Jones fell 0.37%. Despite Friday's mixed results, the stock market as a whole rose last week, with the S&P 500 up 1.5%, the Nasdaq up 2.6%, and the Dow up 0.5%. US stock markets were closed on Monday for Presidents' Day.
The Russian ruble and stock market rose on Thursday after a phone call between US President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin, during which they discussed possible steps to end the war in Ukraine. The ruble rose 3.7% against the US dollar to 90.50, its highest level since September 2025. The Moscow Exchange (MOEX) index rose 5.9% on Thursday. The rise in Russian stocks was led by large corporations, including Gazprom, Sberbank, and Novatek. Shares of aluminum producer Rusal rose almost 25% in Hong Kong. Despite these gains, Western investors are still unable to buy assets on the MOEX due to ongoing sanctions on Russia, and trading has moved to the over-the-counter market.
Meta Platforms is on a spectacular run. The company has closed 20 straight days of gains. Meta shares have risen 25.8% year-to-date, significantly outperforming the other tech giants in the Magnificent Seven. This company’s shares closed at a record high of $736.67 per share on Friday. Meta’s success is fueled by investor optimism due to a strong earnings report and the prospect of Meta planning to invest $65 billion in artificial intelligence (AI).
Dell Technologies shares rose on Friday after news that the company is close to closing a $5 billion AI server deal with Elon Musk’s AI startup, xAI. The potential deal includes purchases of xAI servers powered by Nvidia’s GB200 chips. Dell shares have risen more than 30% over the past 12 months and were up 4% on Friday to $114.38.
Intel (INTC) shares rose 23% for the week, their biggest weekly gain since 2000, after Vice President JD Vance said the Trump administration would push for the AI to be built in the US, with American-designed and manufactured chips. The day after this announcement, Intel shares alone rose 6%.
Moderna (MRNA) shares rose more than 2% immediately after the stock market opened on Friday. The pharmaceutical company, co-founded by Armenian American businessman Noubar Afeyan, reported a 2025 fourth-quarter revenue of $966 million, beating Wall Street estimates. The bulk of the revenue came from its COVID-19 vaccine, Spikevax, which generated $3.1 billion in sales.
On February 11, a total of 30 billion drams of government bonds were placed on Armenia’s securities market, which will be redeemed on April 29, 2029. The respective public auction had four participants, and the total amount of bids submitted by them was 55.486 billion drams. The weighted average price of the placed government bonds amounted to 95.9201 drams, and the yield was 9.7988 percent.
Consumer prices in the US rose more than expected in January. The Consumer Price Index rose 0.5% in January, while economists had expected a 0.3% monthly increase. This is the largest monthly increase in the past year and a half. Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell stated that inflation is still too high and that the Central Bank had not yet reached its 2% target. Since inflation is stronger than expected and the labor market remains solid, traders expect the US Federal Reserve to keep the refinancing rate steady at least until September of this year.
US retail sales fell 0.9% in January, their biggest monthly decline in two years—well above economists' expectations for a 0.1% decline. Personal purchases are thought to have been held back by heavy snowstorms across much of the country and wildfires in Los Angeles. Also, some economists point to inflation and uncertainty over Trump's new tariffs as potential factors.
US manufacturing output unexpectedly fell in January due to a sharp decline in automobile production. Industrial output fell 0.1%, compared with economists’ expectations for a 0.1% gain. But on an annualized basis, industrial output rose 1.0%. The manufacturing sector, which accounts for 10.3% of the US economy, has been gradually recovering since the Federal Reserve began cutting refinancing interest rates in September 2025. But concerns are growing that President Donald Trump’s trade policies, including new tariffs, could disrupt supply chains, raise the cost of goods, and slow the recovery.
US import prices rose modestly in January, rising 0.3%, slightly below economists’ forecast of 0.4%. January’s increase was driven largely by a 3.2% increase in fuel prices. Food prices also rose 0.2%—although that was a sharp slowdown from December’s 3.0% increase. However, prices for cars and consumer goods fell, helping to offset some of the inflationary pressure.
Eurozone industrial output fell more than expected in December, suggesting that the sector's decline is continuing despite some signs of stabilization. Industrial output fell 1.1% month-on-month, and the annual decline was 2.0%. The main factors behind this decline were higher energy costs and a drop in orders. New US tariffs on steel and aluminum are expected to further hurt European industry. Chinese goods which are directed to European markets due to US tariffs could increase competition for local producers.
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